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Russian transport and logistics services market in 2009-2010 and forecast to 2013
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Russian transport and logistics services market in 2009-2010 and forecast to 2013

Дата выпуска: 7 декабря 2010
Количество страниц: 82
Срок предоставления работы: 1 день
ID: 35728
45 000 ₽
Демоверсия
Описание Содержание Иллюстрации Таблицы Выпуски
Описание

This survey provides an analysis of the latest development trends and prospects for the Russian transport and logistics services market. The survey on this subject was conducted for the fifth time.
The paper offers a detailed overview of the situation in the world and Russian transport and logistics services markets formed under the influence of the global economic crisis. The paper also provides the industry's key performance indicators in 2009 and estimates for 2010 as well as a forecast for the development of the key logistics market segments in the post-crisis period up to 2013.
The survey of the Russian transport and logistics services market is an integrated study containing an in-depth analysis of the development of the market's key segments in 2009: freight transportation and forwarding (including international operations), warehousing and management services. The overview provides the estimated volumes of the logistics market in physical and value terms, including the 2PL and 3PL segments. 

The section "International Freight Transportation in the RF" provides data on the dynamics and structure of the foreign trade freight traffic in 2009. The changes that occurred in the container transportation market over the last year and 4 months of 2010 are analyzed, including container transshipment at ports and carriage by rail. 

The section dealing with the Russian warehousing services market examines the effect of the crisis on the supply and demand in the warehousing property market in 2009 and on the dynamics and structure of the storage and distribution services market. The section also discusses the development trends in 2010 and gives an analysis of the logistics market in metropolitan areas and other constituent entities of the Russian Federation.

A separate section includes a review of the competitive environment, strengths and weaknesses of the Russian logistics market, considering global trends and key factors affecting the level of competition as well as prospects for consolidation and growth of the market in the post-crisis period. 

The section "Potential for Growth of the Russian Transport and Logistics Services Market in 2010-2013" contains a forecast for the post-crisis development of Russia's national economy and foreign trade (moderately optimistic scenario of the RF Ministry of Economic Development) and RBC's estimate with regard to the physical and value indicators of the logistics market segments up to 2013.

The survey was conducted in Sept.-Nov. 2010.
Report size - 82.
The report contains 34 tables and 70charts and diagrams.
Report language - English.

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Содержание
 

TABLE OF CONTENTS

 

ABSTRACT

2

FIGURES

4

TABLES

7

SUMMARY

9

WORLD TRANSPORT AND LOGISTICS MARKET

11

RUSSIAN TRANSPORT AND LOGISTICS SERVICES MARKET

14

 

Impact of the crisis on the logistics outsourcing market volume and structure

14

 

Freight transportation market

18

 

 

Freight transportation dynamics and structure

18

 

 

Rail freight transportation

23

 

 

Truck haulage

30

 

 

Sea freight transportation

32

 

 

Inland water transport

37

 

 

Air freight transportation

39

 

International freight transportation in the RF

42

 

 

Dynamics and structure of foreign trade freight traffic

42

 

 

Freight transportation dynamics and structure by mode of transport

45

 

 

International container transportation

51

 

Russian warehousing market

60

 

Competitive environment

66

POTENTIAL FOR GROWTH OF THE RUSSIAN TRANSPORT AND LOGISTICs SERVICES MARKET IN 2010-2013

73

 

Forecast for the development of Russia's economy and foreign trade

73

 

Freight transportation market

74

 

Warehousing services market

77

 

Forecast for transport and logistics services market dynamics

80

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Иллюстрации
Figure 1. Dynamics of the world transport and logistics market volume, 2006-2011, € billion, % 11
Figure 2. Dynamics of the world transport and logistics market structure, 2006-2009, % 12
Figure 3. TOP-12 European 3PL providers' revenue, 2006-2009, € billion, % 13
Figure 4. Dynamics of leading European 3PL providers' revenue, 2009 vs. 2008, % 13
Figure 5. Dynamics of the Russian transport and logistics services market, 2006-2010, RUB billion and % 15
Figure 6. Dynamics of carriers' freight turnover broken down by mode of transport, 2009 vs. 2008, % 15
Figure 7. Volume of the Russian transport and logistics services market segments, 2008-2009, RUB billion 16
Figure 8. Structure of the Russian transport and logistics services market by type of services in 2009, % 17
Figure 9. Structure of commercial freight transportation in the RF by mode of transport in 2009, % 19
Figure 10. Structure of commercial freight turnover in the RF by mode of transport in 2009, % 20
Figure 11. Dynamics of commercial cargo transportation and freight turnover by mode of public transport, 2008-2009, million tons, billion t-km, % 20
Figure 12. Value structure of the Russian cargo transportation market by mode of public transport (specialized carriers and hired entrepreneurs) in 2009, % 22
Figure 13. Dynamics of commercial cargo transportation and freight turnover across all industries by mode of transport, January-September 2010 vs. January-September 2009, % 22
Figure 14. Structure of tonnage handled on rail by primary types of cargo (RZD) en 2009, % 24
Figure 15. Monthly dynamics of tonnage handled on rail transport (commercial transportation, excluding industrial rail transport), January 2008 - September 2010, million tons 24
Figure 16. Forecast for cargo transportation volumes and freight turnover of rail transport (RZD), 2006-2013, million tons, billion t-km 25
Figure 17. Dynamics of RZD's revenue from freight transportation, 2005-2013, RUB billion and % 26
Figure 18. Structure of transportation in the RF by rolling stock ownership in 2004-2009, % 27
Figure 19. TOP 15 private rail operators in 2008, million tons 28
Figure 20. TOP 10 private rail operators by number of railcars (owned and managed) in 2008, thousand units 29
Figure 21. TOP 10 independent private rail operators by revenue in 2008, RUB billion 30
Figure 22. Monthly dynamics of commercial freight transportation by road transport of all RF industries, January 2008 - September 2010, million tons 31
Figure 23. Monthly dynamics of commercial freight transportation by RF sea transport, January 2008 - September 2010, million tons 33
Figure 24. Commercial cargo transportation and freight turnover of RF sea transport, 2008-2009, million tons, billion t-km 34
Figure 25. Transhipments volumes at RF sea ports, 2007-2009, million tons, % 34
Figure 26. Russian cargo transhipment volumes at Russian and foreign ports, 1995-2009, million tons 35
Figure 27. Transhipment at RF ports broken down by main basins, 2008-2009, million tons 35
Figure 28. Structure of cargo handling at RF ports, 2009, % 36
Figure 29. Transhipment volumes at RF ports broken down by main basins. January-September 2010 versus January-September 2009, % 36
Figure 30. Commercial cargo transportation and freight turnover of RF inland water transport, 2008-2009, million tons, billion t-km 38
Figure 31. Monthly dynamics of commercial freight transportation by RF commercial water transport, January 2008 - September 2010, million tons 38
Figure 32. Shares of Russian airlines in the total cargo and mail transportation volume in the RF, 2009, % 40
Figure 33. RF export and import freight traffic, 2004-2010, million tons 42
Figure 34. Index of export freight traffic by main commodity group, January-July 2010 versus January-July 2009, % 44
Figure 35. Distribution of RF foreign trade turnover (by volume of cargo moved through border crossings, excluding pipeline transport), 2008, % 46
Figure 36. Dynamics of foreign trade freight carried by RF rail transport, 2009 versus 2008, % 47
Figure 37. Volume of export, import and transit freight carried by RF rail transport, 2007-2009, million tons 47
Figure 38. Volume of foreign trade freight handled at Russian seaports, 2007-2009, million tons 49
Figure 39. Structure of road freight transportation between Russia and foreign countries by carrier type, 2008, % 50
Figure 40. International container transport operations in the RF, 2004-2010, million tons 51
Figure 41. Structure of Russia's containerized exports in 2008, % 53
Figure 42. Structure of Russia's containerized exports in 2008, % 54
Figure 43. Distribution of containerized imports in the RF by country of manufacture, 2007-2008, % 54
Figure 44. Distribution of containerized imports in the RF by country of shipment, 2007-2008, % 55
Figure 45. Distribution of containerized exports of the RF by country of destination, 2008, % 55
Figure 46. Structure of international containerized transportation in the RF (by mode of transport at border), 2008, % 56
Figure 47. Dynamics of transhipment of Russian foreign trade container freight via seaports, 2005-2009, million TEUs, % 57
Figure 48. Dynamics of the Russian container market in terms of the volume of foreign trade freight handled by Russian and foreign seaports, 2007-2009, million TEUs 57
Figure 49. Dynamics of containerized foreign trade freight transhipment at Russian seaports, 2009 versus 2008, % 58
Figure 50. Distribution of transhipment of containerized foreign trade freight by Russia's sea basin, 2009, % 58
Figure 51. Growth dynamics of quality warehouse space in the RF, 2007-2010, million m2 61
Figure 52. Area of quality warehouse space in Moscow and Moscow Region, Saint-Petersburg and other Russian regions, 2007-2010, million m2 61
Figure 53. Structure of quality warehouse space in Russia, by regions in 2009, % 62
Figure 54. Area of commercial warehouse space in the RF, 2007-2010, million m2 62
Figure 55. Area of quality commercial warehouse space in Moscow and Moscow Region, Saint-Petersburg and other Russian regions, 2007-2010, million m2 63
Figure 56. Value of the Russian warehousing services market, 2007-2010, $ billion 64
Figure 57. Value of the market for services provided in quality warehouses in Moscow and Moscow Region, Saint-Petersburg and other Russian regions, 2007-2009, $ billion 65
Figure 58. Structure of quality commercial warehouse space in Russian regions in 2009, thousand m2 and  % 66
Figure 59. Dynamics of the ruble revenue of certain transportation and logistics companies, 2009 versus 2008, % 68
Figure 60. Revenue of certain Russian transportation and logistics companies, 2008-2009, $ million 69
Figure 61. Forecast for Russia's GDP, industrial production and retail turnover dynamics, 2008-2013, % 73
Figure 62. Growth forecast for freight turnover of transport organizations by mode of transport, 2008-2013, billion t-km 75
Figure 63. Growth forecast for the Russian freight transportation market by mode of transport (including revenues from transhipment at air and water ports), 2009-2013, RUB billion 76
Figure 64. Value structure of the Russian freight transportation market by mode of transport , 2013 (forecast), % 77
Figure 65. Growth forecast for quality warehouse space in Moscow and Moscow Region, Saint-Petersburg and other Russian regions, 2008-2010, million m2 79
Figure 66. Forecast for dynamics of the value of warehousing services market, 2007-2013, RUB billion 79
Figure 67. Growth forecast for the value of the warehousing services market in Moscow and Moscow Region, Saint-Petersburg and other Russian regions, 2008-2013, RUB billion 80
Figure 68. Forecast for Russian transport and logistics services market dynamics, 2008-2013, RUB billion and % 80
Figure 69. Forecast for Russian transport and logistics services market dynamics, 2008-2013, $ billion and % 81
Figure 70. Growth forecast for segments of the Russian transport and logistics services market, 2009-2013, RUB billion 82
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Таблицы
Table 1. Estimated dynamics of global 3PL providers' revenue and income in 2009, % 12
Table 2. Apparent risks and after effects of the economic crisis for the Russian transport and logistics market (2009-2010) 14
Table 3. Volumes of 2PL and 3PL segments of the Russian transport and logistics market in 2009, $ billion 17
Table 4. Dynamics of commercial cargo transportation and freight turnover across all industries by mode of transport, 2008-2009, million tons, billion t-km, % 19
Table 5. Dynamics of Russian carriers' revenues from cargo transportation by mode of transport, 2007-2009, RUB billion and % 21
Table 6. Key performance indicators of JSCo RZD, 2004-2009 23
Table 7. Shipments of primary types of cargo on JSCo RZD network, 2008-2009, million tons 23
Table 8. Indexation of rail freight tariffs, 2006-2013, % 25
Table 9. Cargo transportation volume and freight turnover of the RF road transport, 2008-2009, million tons, billion t-km 31
Table 10. Volume of cargo carried by RF sea transport,  2007-2009, million tons 33
Table 11. Freight turnover and mail and cargo transportation by RF civil aviation (international and domestic operations), 2008-2009, thousand tons, million t-km 39
Table 12. Ranking of Russia's 15 leading airlines by freight turnover and cargo/mail transportation volume (international and domestic operations), 2008- 2009, million t-km, thousand tons 40
Table 13. Value of key air logistics market segments (air freight transportation), 2008-2009, RUB billion 41
Table 14. Volume of export freight traffic broken down by primary commodity group,  2008-2009, million tons 43
Table 15. Volume of import freight traffic of machinery and equipment in the RF, 2008-2009, thousand tons, % 44
Table 16. Volume of import freight traffic broken down by main commodity group, 2008-2009, thousand tons 45
Table 17. Volume of Russian foreign trade freight handled at seaports of Russia, Baltic states and Ukraine, 2007-2009, million tons 48
Table 18. Volume and containerization of foreign trade freight traffic in the RF, 2007-2008, million tons, % 52
Table 19. Distribution of containerized imports by mode of transport, 2007-2008, million tons and % 56
Table 20. Structure of the Russian container market by the volume of foreign trade and transit freight handled by ports, 2008-2009, thousand TEUs, % 59
Table 21. International transportation of high-capacity containers by rail, 2008-2009, thousand TEUs 60
Table 22. Dynamics of container market volume by key segment, 2007-2009, thousand TEUs and % 60
Table 23. Evaluation of vacancy rates for commercial warehouse space in Moscow and Moscow Region, Saint-Petersburg and other Russian regions, 2009, million m2 63
Table 24. Calculation of the cost of warehousing services in A and B class warehouses in Saint-Petersburg, 2007, $ per m2 /year (net of VAT) 64
Table 25. Volume of the Russian market for warehousing services provided in quality warehouses, including services of 3PL operators, 2007-2009, million m2, RUB billion, $ billion 64
Table 27. M&A transactions in the Russian transport and logistics services market, 2008-2009 70
Table 28. World companies present in the Russian logistics market in 2008 71
Table 29. Forecast for key indicators of Russia's economic development in 2009-2013 as % of the corresponding period of the previous year (RF MED's moderately optimistic scenario) 74
Table 30. Forecast for commercial freight traffic dynamics by mode of public transport, 2008- 2013, billion t-km, % 74
Table 31. Forecast for dynamics of the value of freight transportation market by mode of public transport, 2008- 2013, RUB billion, % 76
Table 32. Forecast for changes in the structure of the Russian freight transportation market (including revenues from cargo transshipment at air and water ports), 2008-2013, RUB billion, % 77
Table 33. Forecast annual average dollar exchange rate (RF MED's moderately optimistic scenario), 2008-2013 81
Table 34. Forecast for dynamics of the value of the Russian transport and logistics services market, 2008-2013, RUB billion, % 81
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