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FMCG RETAIL TRADE CHAINS IN RUSSIA 2013
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FMCG RETAIL TRADE CHAINS IN RUSSIA 2013

Дата выпуска: 28 ноября 2013
Количество страниц: 94
Срок предоставления работы: 1 день
ID: 35424
50 000 ₽
Демоверсия
Описание Содержание Иллюстрации Таблицы Выпуски
Описание

The eleventh edition of the market survey "FMCG Retail Trade Chains in Russia" is devoted to analysis of the development of Russian food retail chains in 2012 and the first half of 2013. Starting from the second half of 2012 retail trade indicators began to slow down and this could not help but impact the performance of food retail chains. The pace of revenue growth decelerated in many chains, while the market continued to consolidate due to the purchase of regional chain assets.

This research report describes the current state of the retail chain market, analyzes key mid-term trends, provides an estimate of the market volume, and offers possible scenarios and forecasts for market expansion from 2013 to 2016 factoring in various growth scenarios of the Russian economy.

The report includes an analysis of changes in retail chain formats (supermarkets, hypermarkets, discounters and neighborhood retailers), the key features of Russian chains (average check, average selling space, size of product range, sales per square meter of selling space, etc). The report also analyzes the current strategies employed by Russian and foreign food retailers, including their advantages and disadvantages.

The following methods were used in conducting research:

- questionnaire survey among retail chains
- desk study
- analysis of Federal Customs Service data
- analysis of State Statistics Agency data

Research conducted from April through July, 2013.

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Содержание
 

ABSTRACT

2

List of figures

4

List of tables

6

Executive summary

8

Russian economic development trends in 2012 and forecast for 2013-2016

9

 

Russian economy in 2012 and January-May 2013

9

 

 

Results of January-May 2013

11

 

Forecast for the development of the Russian economy in 2013-2016

14

 

Development of retail trade in 2011-2012 and forecast for 2013-2016

18

Food retail chain market

20

 

The high-quality retail property market

22

 

KPIs of the food retail market in 2012

26

 

Market development trends in the medium term

34

 

 

Ways to develop retail trade chains

34

 

 

Food retail logistics

35

 

 

Consumer behavior and higher food prices

36

 

Structure of food retail formats in 2012

41

 

 

Discounters

43

 

 

Supermarkets

45

 

 

Hypermarkets/cash & carry

46

 

 

Neighborhood stores

47

 

Key characteristics of Russian retail chains

50

 

 

Common characteristics (average selling space, number of staff and footfall rate in stores)

50

 

 

Range of food and non-food goods

52

 

 

Private label goods

53

 

 

Average check and sales per meter of selling space

56

 

Ratings of leading retail chains as of year-end 2012

57

 

M&A deals in the food retail segment

65

 

Medium-term development forecast

68

 

 

Main trends in the development of retail trade in Russia in 2013-2016

70

 

 

Forecast for the development of formats in 2013-2016

74

 

Regional development of retail chains

77

 

 

Macroeconomic indicators

77

 

 

Central Federal District

85

 

 

North-West Federal District

86

 

 

Urals Federal District

87

 

 

Volga Federal District

89

 

 

Southern Federal District

90

 

 

Siberian Federal District

92

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Иллюстрации
 

Fig. 1. Nominal volume of Russian GDP, Rub trillion, 2006-2012, forecast for 2013-2016

15

Fig. 2. Comparison of real growth of key performance indicators of the economy, %, 2003-2012, forecast for 2013-2016

17

Fig. 3. Nominal volume of retail trade in Russia, bn Rub, 2006-2012 and forecast for 2013-2016

19

Fig. 4. Contribution of trade sector to Russian GDP (derived), % 2004-2012, forecast for 2013-2015

20

Fig. 5. Structure of retail trade formation by business entities in 2012 (vs. 2011)

21

Fig. 6. Stages of development of Russian food retail

22

Fig. 7. Shopping center selling space - distribution across Russia, as of end 2Q13 and end 2014

24

Fig. 8. Volume of selling space per 1,000 inhabitants in major Russian cities, 2012

25

Fig. 9. LFL revenue growth (Rub) of several retail trade chains, %, 2007-2012

28

Fig. 10. Share of food retail chains in Russian retail sales (Rub), 2006-2012

29

Fig. 11. Degree of consolidation of food retail in Russia - share of the top 10 companies, 2006-2012

30

Fig. 12. Revenue growth (Rub) of retailers - distribution by type of chains, %, 2006-2012

31

Fig. 13. Dynamics of the structure of retail food chain revenue - distribution by type of chain, %, 2005-2012

32

Fig. 14. Largest food retail market players (share of leading chains in total sales of organized food retail), 2012

33

Fig. 15. Price dynamics for main food goods, %, 2010-2012

38

Fig. 16. Growth rate of top 11 retail chain stores*, %, 2008-2012

40

Fig. 17. Structure of food retail trade based on chain formats, 2005-2012

42

Fig. 18. Quantitative structure of Russian retail chains in the regions under study - distribution by type of outlets, as of 2Q13

43

Fig. 19. Dynamics of main parameters in discounter format, %, 2008-2012

44

Fig. 20. Dynamics of main parameters in supermarket format, %, 2008-2012

45

Fig. 21. Dynamics of main parameters in hypermarket/cash&carry formats, %, 2008-2012

47

Fig. 22. Dynamics of main parameters in the neighborhood store format, %, 2008-2012

48

Fig. 23. Sales growth of main retail trade formats in ruble terms, %, 2007-2012

49

Fig. 24. Sales turnover of goods in the PL segment of retail food chains operating in Russia, Rub, 2004-2012, forecast for 2013

55

Fig. 25. Dynamics of M&A deals in the food retail sector, 2004-2012

66

Fig. 26. Number of M&A deals and average value of deal in the food retail sector, 2004-2012

67

Fig. 27. Dynamics of key macroeconomic indices for the retail trade sector, %, 2007-2012, forecast for 2013-2016

69

Fig. 28. Share of retail chains in total food retail sales - forecast for 2013-2016

70

Fig. 29. Level of consolidation of the food retail chain business in Russia, %, forecast for 2013-2016

71

Fig. 30. Volume of high-quality warehouses facilities in Moscow, St. Petersburg and the Russian regions, 2010-2012, mn sq. m.

72

Fig. 31. Regional structure of high-quality warehouse facilities in Russia, 2012, %

73

Fig. 32. Dynamics of the volume of high-quality warehouse facilities in Russia, 2008-2012, mn sq. m.

74

Fig. 33. Structure of food retail sales by formats of trade chains, forecast for 2013-2016

75

Fig. 34. Vector of development for the Russian food retail trade market, 2013-2016

76

Fig. 35. Growth of retail sales by federal districts (% vs. respective period of the previous year in LFL prices), 2009-2012

78

Fig. 36. Structure of retail sales by federal districts, 2012

79

Fig. 37. Structure of retail chain sales by federal districts, 2012

81

Fig. 38. Domination of chains in the federal districts of Russia, distribution by number of stores as of April-May 2013

82

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Таблицы
 

Table 1. Key performance indicators of the Russian economy, 2009-2012, % change vs. previous year

9

Table 2. Key performance indicators of the Russian economy in January-May 2013, % change vs. the respective period of the previous year

11

Table 3. Average annual exchange rates of major currencies, 2006-2012, forecast for 2013-2015

14

Table 4. Key forecast indicators of socio-economic development in 2013-2016 (all development scenarios)

15

Table 5. Selling space supply in several Russian cities with a population greater than 1 mn as of the beginning of 2013

23

Table 6. Growth dynamics of the top 11 FMCG chains (Rub) in 2010-2012

26

Table 7. Distribution centers of major food retail chains as of the beginning of 2Q13

35

Table 8. Share of goods from local producers in the product range of several retail trade chains as of April-May 2013, %

38

Table 9. Average selling space of stores, distribution by formats, square meters, 2011-2012

50

Table 10. Number of staff per store, distribution by formats, 2011-2012

51

Table 11. Daily number of buyers per store (number of cash register receipts), distribution by formats, 2011-2012

52

Table 12. Total range of goods, SKU, 2012-2013

52

Table 13. Range of food products, SKU, 2012-2013

52

Table 14. Range of non-food products, SKU, 2012-2013

53

Table 15. Ratio of food and non-food products in the range of goods of a store on average by formats, %, 2012-2013

53

Table 16. Company leaders by the share of private label goods in chain sales, %, 2012

53

Table 17. Average check (including VAT) in stores of various formats, Rub, 2011-2012

56

Table 18. Sales per square meter of selling space per year, Rub, 2011-2012

56

Table 19. Comparison of average selling space of stores and average sales per square meter, distribution by formats, 2011-2012

56

Table 20. Rating of retail trade chains by size of sales for 2012

57

Table 21. Rating of retail trade chains by number of stores as of the beginning of 2Q13

59

Table 22. Rating of retail trade chains by size of selling space as of the beginning of 2Q13

61

Table 23. Rating of retail trade chains by number of buyers as of 2012

62

Table 24. Rating of retail trade chains by size of average check for 2012

63

Table 25. Rating by sales per square meter of selling space for 2012

64

Table 26. Dynamics of Russian retail sales by federal districts, %, 2007-2012

79

Table 27. Largest cities of Russia in terms of population and retail trade turnover per capita in 2012

79

Table 28. Leading regions in terms of retail food chain volume, Rub mn, 2012

81

Table 29. Comparison of the largest Russian regions by retail sales and penetration rate of chain retail

83

Table 30. Structure of food retail chains in the Central Federal District, distribution by number of stores, 2012-2013

85

Table 31. Structure of food retail chains in the North-West Federal District, distribution by the number of stores, 2012-2012

87

Table 32. Structure of food retail chains in the Urals Federal District - distribution by number of stores, 2012-2013

88

Table 33. Structure of food retail chains in the Volga Federal District - distribution by number of stores, 2012-2013

89

Table 34. Structure of food retail chains in the Southern Federal District - distribution by number of stores - 2012 - 2013

91

Table 35. Structure of food retail chains in the Siberian Federal District - distribution by number of stores, 2012 - 2013

92

Table 36. Household penetration of chain stores - distribution by regions and store formats (as of April-May 2013)

93

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