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FMCG Retail Chains in Russia 2011
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FMCG Retail Chains in Russia 2011

Дата выпуска: 16 сентября 2011
Количество страниц: 90
Срок предоставления работы: 1 день
ID: 35422
42 000 ₽
Демоверсия
Описание Содержание Иллюстрации Таблицы Выпуски
Описание

The ninth edition of the market survey "FMCG Retail Chains in Russia" is dedicated to analysis of the development of Russian retail food chains in the post-crisis environment. The survey describes the current market situation, analyzes key mid-term trends in retail development, assesses the market volume and provides possible scenarios and forecasts for its development in 2011-2014, considering macroeconomic forecasts and trends in consumer demand.

This survey includes an analysis of changes in retail chain formats (supermarkets, hypermarkets, discounters, convenient stores) and key characteristics of Russian chains (average check, average selling space, assortment size, sales per square meter of selling area, etc). In addition, the survey analyzes current strategies employed by Russian and foreign food retailers, their advantages and disadvantages. The Federal Trade Law, which began to operate in full swing in 2010, has produced a notable impact on business conducted by retail chains. The survey contains an analysis of a number of key provisions of the Law and its application practice.

An analytical review of the market includes a description of basic parameters of, and trends in, Russia's food retail sector, strategies and business models adopted by major companies, as well as development forecasts for retail chains and the market as a whole to 2014.

The survey was conducted using the following approaches and methods:
A questionnaire survey among retail chains
A desk study
The desk study was based on the following sources:
Data from printed and electronic media
Materials of conferences
Investment reports by banks
Financial reports of companies

Research was conducted from April to June, 2011. The report contains 37 tables and 36 charts and diagrams.

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Содержание
 

Abstract

2

Methods

2

Table of contents

3

List of diagrams

4

List of tables

6

Summary

8

Trends in Russia'S Economic development in 2010 and first quarter 2011. Forecast for 2011-2014

10

 

Russia's economy in 2010 and in January - April 2011: emergence from the crisis and growth slowdown

10

 

Forecast for Russia's economy in 2011-2014

12

 

Forecast for the global economy in 2011-2014

15

 

Retail trade development in 2010 and forecast for 2011-2014

17

 

 

Forecast for retail trade development in 2011-2014

18

 

 

Consumer inflation

19

 

 

Retail markets

21

Russia's food chain retail market: post-crisis development

23

 

Modern retail property market

25

 

Food retail market development indicators in 2010

27

 

Market leaders' development strategies

34

 

 

Retailers' funding strategies in 2009-2010

40

 

 

Government regulation of the sector

41

 

Changes in the structure of retail formats induced by the crisis

44

 

 

Discounters

46

 

 

Supermarkets

46

 

 

Hypermarkets / cash & carry

48

 

 

Convenient stores

49

 

Key characteristics of Russian chains

51

 

 

General characteristics (average sales area, headcount, chain store traffic)

52

 

 

Range of food and non-food products

53

 

 

Private label products (PLPs)

55

 

 

Operating performance indicators of retail chains

56

 

2010 rankings of leading retail chains

59

 

M&A transactions in the food retail segment

68

 

Forecast for sector's development in the medium term

70

 

 

Key development trends in Russia's chain retail in 2011-2014

70

 

 

Formats development forecast for 2011-2014

75

 

Regional development of retail chains

78

 

 

Macroeconomic indicators

78

 

 

Central Federal District

83

 

 

Northwestern Federal District

84

 

 

Ural Federal District

85

 

 

Siberian Federal District

86

 

 

Volga Federal District

87

 

 

Southern Federal District

88

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Иллюстрации
 

Figure 1. Russia's nominal GDP in billion rubles, 2004-2010, and forecast for 2011-2014

13

Figure 2. Comparison of real growth rates of key indicators, %, 2000-2010, and forecast for 2011-2014

14

Figure 3. Global economy dynamics in 2007-2010 and forecast for 2011-2014, %

15

Figure 4. Global commodity trade dynamics, 2007-2010, and forecast for 2011-2012, %

16

Figure 5. Nominal retail sales volume in Russia, billion rubles, 2004-2010

17

Figure 6. Nominal retail sales in Russia, billion rubles, forecast for 2011-2014

18

Figure 7. Share of markets in total retail turnover, %, 2005-2010

21

Figure 8. Number of open markets, 2005-2010

22

Figure 9. Retail sector's contribution to Russia's GDP, %, 2004-2010

24

Figure 10. Consumer behavior of Russian people towards food products

25

Figure11. Shopping center stock distribution across Russia, 2010

27

Figure 12. LFL sales growth rates in major companies in ruble equivalent, %, 2007-2010

28

Figure 13. Growth in the share of retail food chains in total food retail turnover in Russia (USD), 2002-2010

29

Figure 14. Degree of Russia's food retail consolidation: share of top ten companies, 2006-2010

30

Figure 15. Retailers' ruble revenue growth rates - distribution by chain type, %, 2005-2010

31

Figure 16. Changes in the shares of local/federal/foreign chains in total turnover of the retail food chain sector, %, 2003-2010

32

Figure 17. Largest players in the food retail market (the share of leading chains in total turnover of organized food retail), 2010

33

Figure 18. Share of modern chain retail in Russia's total retail turnover, 2003-2010

34

Figure 19. Rates of increase in the number of stores within the top ten chains, %, 2005-2010

38

Figure 20. Aggregate corporate loan portfolio of banks, 2008-2010

40

Figure 21. Structure of food retail turnover by retail chain format, 2003-2010

45

Figure 22. Quantitative structure of Russian chain retail in the surveyed regions - distribution by outlet type as at the beginning of 2011

45

Figure 23. Turnover growth rates  across major retail formats (in ruble equivalent), %, 2005-2010

50

Figure 24. Private label turnover in food chains operating in Russia, rubles, 2004-2010 and forecast for 2011

55

Figure 25. M&A volume dynamics in the food retail segment, 2003 - 2010

69

Figure 26. Number of M&A transactions and average transaction amount in the food retail segment, 2003-2010

70

Figure 27. Dynamics of key macroeconomic indicators determining the retail sector's development, %, 2005-2010 and forecast for 2011-2014

71

Figure 28. Share of retail chains in total food retail turnover - forecast for 2011-2014 *

72

Figure 29. Russia's chain food retail consolidation level, %, forecast for 2011-2014

73

Figure 30. Growth rates of quality warehousing space in Russia, 2007-2010, forecast to 2011-2014, million sq m

74

Figure 31. Food retail turnover structure by retail chain format, forecast for 2011-2014

75

Figure 32. Vector of Russia's food retail market development, 2010-2014

76

Figure 33. Retail turnover growth rates by federal district (as % of the corresponding period in the previous year, in comparable prices), January-December 2009-2010

78

Figure 34. Retail turnover structure by federal district, 2010

79

Figure 35. Domination of chains in RF federal districts, distribution by the number of stores as at the beginning of 2011

81

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Таблицы
 

Table 1. Key indicators of Russia's economic development in 2008-2010 as percent of the corresponding period in the previous year

10

Table 2. Annual average exchange rates of major currencies, 2004-2010, and forecast for 2011-2014

12

Table 3. Dynamics of key macroeconomic indicators (2b scenario, 2008 = 100%)

13

Table 4. Structure of growth of consumer prices in 2009-2010 and forecast for 2011-2014, %

20

Table 5. Shopping centers in Russia: supply snapshot, 2009 - 2012

26

Table 6. Russian retail food chains' development strategies in 2010

35

Table 7. Global Retail Development Index 2011 - top 20 countries

39

Table 8. Analysis of the consequences of practical application of key provisions of the Trade Law regulating activities of trading organizations

42

Table 9. Average sales area of stores, distribution by format, sq. m, 2009-2010

52

Table 10. Personnel size per store, persons, distribution by format, 2009-2010

53

Table 11. Daily number of customers (sales checks), persons, distribution by format, 2009-2010

53

Table 12. Total product range, SKUs, 2010-2011

53

Table 13. Range of food products, SKUs, 2010-2011

54

Table 14. Range of non-food products, SKUs, 2010-2010

54

Table 15. Leaders in the share of PLPs in the chain's turnover, %, 2010

55

Table 16. Average check in stores of different formats, rubles, 2009-2010

56

Table 17. Turnover per square meter of sales area per year, rubles, 2009-2010

57

Table 18. Average sales area compared with average turnover per square meter, distribution by format, 2009-2010

57

Table 19. Average retail mark-up - distribution by format, %, April 2011

58

Table 20. Ranking of retail chains by turnover in 2010

59

Table 21. Ranking of retail chains by the number of stores in 2010

60

Table 22. Ranking of retail chains by the maximum product range, spring 2011

62

Table 23. Ranking of retail chains by the number of customers in 2010

65

Table 24. Ranking of retail chains by the average check size - distribution by format, 2010

66

Table 25. Ranking by turnover per square meter of sales area, 2010

67

Table 26. Ranking of retail chains by the amount of private label products, 2010

67

Table 27. Availability of warehousing space of various classes in key distribution centers, thousand sq m, as at the beginning of 2011

74

Table 28. Russia's retail turnover structure by federal district, %, 2005-2010

79

Table 29. Russia's largest cities by population and per capita retail turnover in 2010

79

Table 30. Comparison of Russia's largest regions by retail turnover and chain retail penetration, 2010

82

Table 31. Food retail structure in the Central Federal District - distribution by the number of stores, 2010 - 2011

83

Table 32. Chain food retail structure in the Northwest Federal District - distribution by the number of stores, 2010 - 2011

84

Table 33. Chain food retail structure in the Ural Federal District - distribution by the number of stores, 2010 - 2011

85

Table 34. Chain food retail structure in the Siberian Federal District- distribution by the number of stores, 2010 - 2011

86

Table 35. Chain food retail structure in the Volga Federal District - distribution by the number of stores, 2010 - 2011

87

Table 36. Chain food retail structure in the Southern Federal District - distribution by the number of stores, 2010 - 2011

88

Table 37. Availability of chain stores for the population - distribution by region and store format (as at the beginning of 2011)

89

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