Subject of research:
WORLD MARKET OF LIGHT MOTOR VEHICLES. RUSSIAN MARKET OF LIGHT MOTOR VEHICLES
Goal of research:
ASSESSMENT OF SITUATION ON THE MARKET & FORECAST OF ITS DEVELOPMENT FOR 2011-2015
Region of research:
RUSSIA
Main blocks of research:
VOLUME OF RUSSIAN MARKET
PRODUCTION OF PASSENGER CARS IN RUSSIA
IMPORT OF PASSENGER CARS
EXPORT OF PASSENGER CARS
CAR PRICES
MARKET TRENDS
STATE REGULATION
PROFILES OF THE LARGEST PASSENGER CAR MANUFACTURERS
FORECAST OF AUTOMOTIVE MARKET DEVELOPMENT FOR 2011-2015
Market segmented by:
PASSENGER CARS
LARGEST MANUFACTURERS
LARGEST IMPORTERS
LARGEST EXPORTERS
PRICES IN AUTOMOBILE SEGMENTS
MAKES OF CAR FLEET
FEDERAL DISTRICTS OF RF
REGIONS OF RF
YEARS
Largest passenger car manufacturers analyzed
"AVTOVAZ" JSC
"AVTOFRAMOS" JSC
"FORD MOTOR COMPANY" JSC
"VOLKSWAGEN GROUP RUS" LTD.
"AVTOTOR" JSC
Information sources used:
Federal State Statistics Service
Economic Development Ministry of RF
Transportation Ministry of RF
Federal Customs Service
Federal Tax Service
Field expert evaluations
Retail sales report
Materials of the field’s main players
Data from professional associations
Field print and electronic publications
The research contains 80 schedules, 104 diagrams and 94 tables.
EXTRACTS FROM RESEARCH
WORLD MARKET
In 2002-2006, the world volume of car production had been increasing by ***% annually. During that period the production volume grew by *** mln. сars a year. After a high growth of production in 2007 (***%, *** mln. cars – almost the same amount like for the previous *** years!) a recession came in 2008, which brought the production volume back to the former trend, and then, in 2009, there was a slump in production by ***%. According to initial estimation, the growth in 2010 returned the production to the previous trend, or, perhaps, surpassed it a little, so it was about ***% comparing with the production volumes in 2009.
Largest manufacturing companies
In absolute terms, the crisis in the worst way affected General Motors at the most (they manufactured passenger cars by *** less in 2009 than in 2005) and Ford (-*** cars), having faced with great problems during its active period and being supported by the government. Hyundai (whose production volume in 2009 was *** mln. cars, that is *** mln. cars more, than in 2005) and Volkswagen (*** and *** mln, respectively) passed through it best of all.
Table 6. Production volume of passenger cars by main world manufacturers in 2005-2009, units
VOLUME OF RUSSIAN AUTOMOTIVE MARKET
By 2008, the volume of Russian automotive market reached its peak in *** bln. rub. The economic slump of 2008-2009 resulted in decrease of its volumes more then by a bln. rub. – up to *** mln. rub. The growth in 2010 was also significant – the market increased in ***, that is about *** mln. rub.
In 2009, the domestic products had a minimal share in the Russian market - ***% only. However due to the crisis and dropped demand for more expensive foreign cars, its share started increasing gradually and, in 2010, it took ***% of all market volume.
Volume of passenger car market
Structure of market
Since 2004 the import was a main factor determining the size of Russian market of passenger cars. However, during the crisis in 2009-2010, the import volumes reduced to *** bln. rub., that is ***% of overall volumes of market decrease. As a result of quick recovery of production volumes, in 2010 the domestic production (the first time since 2004) took more than *** of Russian passenger car market.
PRODUCTION OF PASSENGER CARS IN RUSSIA
In the first three quarters of 2011, the average monthly volumes of car production exceeded *** ths. units, that is approximately 57% more than in the same period of the previous year. Sticking to that production deference till the end of the year, the production volumes in 2011 will be about *** mln. units, so this result is going to be the best one during the last 20 years.
No obvious seasonality in the car production in 2006-2011 was observed.
MARKET TRENDS
12.1. Trends of automotive market
Structural change of Russian manufacturers
During the last decade, the AvtoVAZ situation in the market was gradually becoming worse. In 1998-2000, the company had more than two-thirds in producing the Russian products. Afterwards, their share was gradually going down, yielding it to the growing producers from the other regions of Russia. The first short-term recession came in November, 2002, when AvtoVAZ had only about ***% of all cars manufactured in Russia. After that time, its share became equal quickly, but began its gradual descent. In March, 2007, for the first time during the observed period, AvtoVAZ produced less than *** of all Russian products. During the first 9 months in 2011…
The share of ***% followed the similar dynamics, though not so dramatic and highlighted in the press – if in 1998 its share in Russian production was more than ***%, by the year 2011 it was reduced to ***% on a par.
Their share was occupied by “new automotive production regions” – Kaliningrad, Leningrad, Kaluga Regions, Moscow and Saint Petersburg, where assembling of foreign cars was being developed dynamically.
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
LIST OF SCHEDULES, DIAGRAMS AND TABLES
1. GENERAL ECONOMIC SITUATION IN RUSSIA
1.1. Population of Russia
Population number
Largest cities
Social standard of living
Economic activity
1.2. Economic situation
Dynamics of economic development
Stability of the state budget
1.3. Position of Russia in the world
Share of RF in the world population
2. METHODS OF RESEARCH
2.1. Market description
Historical note
Car classifications
2.2. Classifications used
All-Russian classification of products
All-Russian classification of products by types of economic activities
Classification as per commodity nomenclature for foreign economic activities
2.3. Methodical explanation to work
Foreign trade
Russian manufacturers
3. WORLD MARKET
3.1. World automotive market
Production volume of cars
Largest manufacturing companies
Largest manufacturing countries
3.2. World market of passenger cars
Production volume in the largest manufacturing countries
Largest manufacturing companies
4. VOLUME OF RUSSIAN MARKET
4.1. Volume of automotive market
Volume of market by years
Structure of market
4.2. Volume of passenger car market
Volume of market by years
Structure of market
4.3. Passenger car fleet
Car fleet of Russia
Passenger car fleet by federal districts
Car fleet by regions
Passenger car fleet density
Structure of passenger car fleet by make
5. PASSENGER CAR PRODUCTION IN RUSSIA
5.1. Passenger car production
Volume of production by years
Volume of production by months
Volume of production by categories
Volume of production by federal districts
Volume of production by regions
5.2. Production of cars with spark-plug ignition and cylinder displacement of less than 1500 cm3
Volume of production by years
Volume of production by months
Volume of production by federal districts
Volume of production by regions
5.3. Production of cars with spark-plug ignition and cylinder displacement of more than 1500 cm3
Volume of production by years
Volume of production by months
Volume of production by federal districts
Volume of production by regions
5.4. Production of cars with internal combustion engine (ICE) and compression ignition
Volume of production by years
Volume of production by months
Volume of production by federal districts
Volume of production by regions
5.5. Largest passenger car manufacturers of Russia till 2008
6. IMPORT OF PASSENGER CARS
6.1. Passenger cars in general
Dynamics of import volume by years
Structure of import by categories
Dynamics of import volume by countries
6.2. Snowmobiles and special vehicles
Dynamics of import volume by years
Dynamics of import volume by countries
6.3. Cars with cylinder displacement till 1 ths. cm3
Dynamics of import volume by years
Dynamics of import volume by countries
6.4. Cars with cylinder displacement of 1-1,5 ths. cm3
Dynamics of import volume by years
Dynamics of import volume by countries
6.5. Cars with cylinder displacement of 1,5-3 ths. cm3
Dynamics of import volume by years
Dynamics of import volume by countries
6.6. Cars with cylinder displacement from 3 ths. cm3
Dynamics of import volume by years
Dynamics of import volume by countries
6.7. Diesel cars with cylinder displacement till 1,5 ths. cm3
Dynamics of import volume by years
6.8. Diesel cars with cylinder displacement of 1,5-2,5 ths. cm3
Dynamics of import volume by years
Dynamics of import volume by countries
6.9. Diesel cars with cylinder displacement from 2,5 ths. cm3
Dynamics of import volume by years
Dynamics of import volume by countries
6.10. Other passenger cars
Dynamics of import volume by years
Dynamics of import volume by countries
7. EXPORT OF PASSENGER CARS
7.1. Passenger cars in general
Dynamics of export volume by years
Structure of export by categories
Dynamics of export volume by countries
7.2. Snowmobiles and special vehicles
Dynamics of export volume by years
7.3. Cars with cylinder displacement till 1 ths. cm3
Dynamics of export volume by years
7.4. Cars with cylinder displacement of 1-1,5 ths. cm3
Dynamics of export volume by years
Dynamics of export volume by countries
7.5. Cars with cylinder displacement of 1,5-3 ths. cm3
Dynamics of export volume by countries
7.6. Cars with cylinder displacement from 3 ths. cm3
Dynamics of export volume by years
Dynamics of export volume by countries
7.7. Diesel cars with cylinder displacement of 1,5-2,5 ths. cm3
Dynamics of export volume by years
Dynamics of export volume by countries
7.8. Diesel cars with cylinder displacement from 2,5 ths. cm3
Dynamics of export volume by years
8. CAR PRICES
8.1. Car prices by main categories
Dynamics of prices by years
8.2. Passenger car prices of Russian manufacturers
Dynamics of prices by years
Dynamics of prices by months
8.3. Consumer prices of new domestic passenger cars
Dynamics of prices by years
Dynamics of prices by months
8.4. Consumer prices of new imported passenger cars
Dynamics of prices by years
Dynamics of prices by months
8.5. Consumer prices of used imported passenger cars
Dynamics of prices by years
Dynamics of prices by months
8.6. Consumer prices for imported passenger cars, assembled in RF
Dynamics of prices by years
Dynamics of prices by months
9. MARKET TRENDS
9.1. Trends of automotive market
Structural change of Russian manufacturers
Production of foreign cars in Russia
9.2. Road infrastructure in Russia
Length of auto-roads
Density of auto-roads
9.3. Russian enterprises of road infrastructure
9.4. Market of car service centers
9.5. Car parts market
Overall market characteristics
Market volume
Market structure
9.6. Market of car wash centers
Market of car wash centers in Russia
Market of car wash centers in Moscow
Market capacity of car wash centers in Russia
10. STATE REGULATION
10.1. Road transport
10.2. Customs duties
10.3 Russian Ministry of Industry and Trade development program
General characteristics of the sector
Characteristics of Russian manufacturers
Forecast of market development
10.4. Auto roads
11. MAJOR PLAYERS IN PASSENGER CAR MARKET
11.1. Geographical position of the largest enterprises
11.2. Largest enterprises by revenue volume
11.3. «AVTOVAZ»
11.4. «AVTOTOR»
11.5. «AVTOFRAMOS»
11.6. «Sollers»
11.7. «VOLKSWAGEN GROUP RUS»
11.8. «Ford Motor Company»
12. PROFILES OF LARGEST PASSENGER CAR MANUFACTURERS
12.1. "AVTOVAZ" JSC
Reference information
Activities
Balance sheet
Profit and loss statement
Cash-flow statement
Financials
12.2. "AVTOFRAMOS" JSC
Reference information
Activities
Balance sheet
Profit and loss statement
Cash-flow statement
Financials
12.3. "FORD MOTOR COMPANY" JSC
Reference information
Activities
Balance sheet
Profit and loss statement
Cash-flow statement
Financials
12.4. "VOLKSWAGEN GROUP RUS" LTD.
Reference information
Activities
Balance sheet
Profit and loss statement
Cash-flow statement
Financials
12.5. "AVTOTOR" JSC
Reference information
Activities
Balance sheet
Profit and loss statement
Cash-flow statement
Financials
13. FORECAST OF AUTOMOTIVE MARKET DEVELOPMENT FOR 2011-2015
13.1. Automotive market
13.2. Passenger cars
APPENDIX 1. VOLUME OF CAR MARKET AS PER “AVTOSTAT” DATA
APPENDIX 2. MAIN MANUFACTURING ENTERPRISES OF FOREIGN CARS IN RUSSIA
APPENDIX 3. CUSTOMS DUTIES ON MAIN TYPES OF PRODUCTS
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