70 000 ₽

Демоверсия

РБК Исследования рынков

FMCG RETAIL TRADE CHAINS IN RUSSIA 2014

Дата выпуска: 3 октября 2014

Количество страниц: 105

Срок предоставления работы: 1 день

ID: 35425

70 000 ₽

Демоверсия

Описание Содержание Иллюстрации Таблицы Выпуски

Описание

The 12th edition of marketing research "FMCG Retail Trade Chains in Russia" is devoted to analysis of the development of Russian food retail chains in 2013 and in the first half of 2014. The past year 2013 was relatively successful for FMCG retail trade, new stores were opened, chains continued their expansion, having entered the regions that were new for them. However the economic situation began to deteriorate and in 2014 political risks of the industry increased.

RBC.research's marketing research report describes the current state of the retail chain market, analyzes key mid-term development trends, provides an estimate of the market volume in 2013 - 2014, and possible scenarios and forecasts of its development from 2015 to 2017 factoring in various development scenarios of the Russian economy.

This work includes an analysis of structural changes in retail chain formats (supermarkets, hypermarkets, discounters and neighbourhood retailers), key characteristics of Russian chains (average chack, average selling space, size of product range, sales per square meter of selling space, etc.). The research also analyses current business strategies of Russian and foreign food retail operators, their advantages and disadvantages.

The following methods were used in carrying out the research:

- questionnaire survey of retail chains

- interviews with representatives of retail chains

- desk research

- analysis of statisitical data of the RF Federal Customs Service (FCS)

- analysis of State Statistics Agency (Rosstat) data

Research conducted from April through August, 2014.

Категории: Потребительские товары/FMCG
Россия

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Содержание

ANNOTATION			2
Contents			3
List of figures			4
List of tables			5
Summary			7
Russian economic development trends in 2013 and forecast for 2014-2016			8
	Russian economy in 2013 and estimation for 2014		8
		Data for the first half of 2014	12
	Forecast for the development of the Russian economy in 2015-2017		13
	Retail trade development in 2013 and development forecast for 2014-2017		18
		Consumer inflation	19
Food retail chain market			21
	Development indicators of food retail market in 2013 and the first half of 2014		24
	Market development trends in the medium term		34
		Expert opinions on the current situation and prospects for the development of the Russian FMCG retail	35
		Food retail logistics	41
		Consumer behavior and higher food prices	45
		Structure of food retail formats in 2013	52
		Discounters	54
		Supermarkets	55
		Hypermarkets/cash & carry	56
		Neighborhood stores	57
	Key characteristics of Russian retail chains		60
		Common characteristics (average selling space, number of staff and footfall rate in stores)	60
		Range of food and non-food goods	62
		Private label goods	63
		Average check and sales per meter of selling space	66
	Ratings of leading retail chains as of year-end 2013		68
	M&A deals in the food retail segment		78
	Medium-term development forecast		80
		Main trends in the development of retail trade in Russia in 2013-2016	82
		Main trends in the development of formats in 2013-2016	85
	Regional development of retail chains		89
		Macroeconomic indicators	89
		Central Federal District	96
		Northwestern Federal District	98
		Urals Federal District	100
		Volga Federal District	102
		Southern Federal District	104
		Siberian Federal District	105

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Иллюстрации

Fig. 1. Nominal volume of Russian GDP, RUB billion, 2008-2013, forecast for 2014-2017	16
Fig. 2. Comparison of actual growth rates of key indicators of the economy, %, 2008-2013 , forecast for 2014-2017	17
Fig. 3. Contribution of trade sector to added value of Russian GDP (derived), % 2004-2013	21
Fig. 4. Structure of retail trade formation by business entities in 2013 (in 2012)	22
Fig. 5. Structure of retail trade formation by business entities in the first half of 2014 (in the first half of 2013)	23
Fig. 6. Stages of development of Russian food retail	24
Fig. 7. LFL revenue growth (RUB) of several retail trade chains, %, 2007-2013	27
Fig. 8. Share of food retail chains in Russian retail trade turnover (RUB), 2007-2013	29
Fig. 9. Degree of consolidation of food retail in Russia - share of the top 10 companies, 2007-2013	30
Fig. 10. Revenue growth (RUB) of retailers - distribution by type of chains, %, 2008-2013	31
Fig. 11. Dynamics of the structure of food retail chain revenue - distribution by type of chain, %, 2005-2013	32
Fig. 12. Largest food retail market players (share of leading chains in total sales of organized food retail), 2013	33
Fig. 13. Volume of high-quality warehousing facilities in Moscow, St. Petersburg and the Russian regions, 2010-2013, mln sq. m.	44
Fig. 14. Dynamics of the volume of high-quality warehouse facilities in the RF, 2008-2013, mln sq. m and forecast for 2014	45
Fig. 15. Opinion of Russians on food product quality, December 2013 (answer to a question "What food products do you accept as quality products?", % of respondents)	47
Fig. 16. Dynamics of prices for basic food products, %, 2010-2013	48
Fig. 17. Structure of food retail trade based on chain formats, 2005-2013	52
Fig. 18. Quantitative structure of Russian retail chains in the regions under study - distribution by type of outlets, as of Q2 of 2014	53
Fig. 19. Sales growth of main retail trade formats in ruble terms, %, 2007-2013	58
Fig. 20. Sales turnover of goods in the PL segment of retail food chains operating in Russia, billion Rub, 2004-2013, forecast for 2014	66
Fig. 21. Dynamics of M&A deals in the food retail sector, 2004-2013	79
Fig. 22. Number of M&A deals and average value of deal in the food retail sector, 2004-2013	80
Fig. 23. Dynamics of key macroeconomic indices for the retail trade sector, %, 2008-2013, forecast for 2014-2017	81
Fig. 24. Level of consolidation of the food retail chain business in Russia, %, forecast for 2014-2017	84
Fig. 25. Structure of food retail sales by formats of trade chains, forecast for 2014-2015	86
Fig. 26. Vector of development for the Russian food retail trade market, 2014-2017	87
Fig. 27. Growth of retail sales by federal districts (% vs. respective period of the previous year in LFL prices), 2009-2013	89
Fig. 28. Structure of retail sales by federal districts, 2013	90
Fig. 29. Structure of retail chain sales by federal districts, 2013	92
Fig. 30. Domination of chains in the federal districts of Russia, distribution by number of stores as of May-June 2014.	93
Fig. 31. Comparison of the largest Russian regions by retail sales and penetration rate of chain retail	95

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Таблицы

Table 1. Key development indicators of the Russian economy, 2010-2013, % change vs. respective period of the previous year	8
Table 2. Key indicators of the forecast for the social and economic development	10
Table 3. Key performance indicators of the Russian economy in January-June 2014, % change vs. the respective period of the previous year	12
Table 4. Key indicators of the forecast for the social and economic development of the Russian Federation in 2015 - 2017	14
Table 5. Average annual exchange rates of major currencies, 2008-2013, forecast for 2014-2016	17
Table 6. Structure of consumer price growth in 2010-2013, forecast for 2014-2017	19
Table 7. Share of retail chains in total retail trade turnover (in effective prices, in %) 2009-2013	21
Table 8. Distribution centers of major food retail chains as of the beginning of 2Q14	42
Table 9. Average selling space of stores, distribution by formats, square meters, 2012-2013	60
Table 10. Number of staff per store, distribution by formats, 2012-2013	61
Table 11. Daily number of buyers per store (number of cash register receipts), distribution by formats, 2012-2013	62
Table 12. Total range of goods, SKU, 2013-2014	62
Table 13. Range of food products, SKU, 2013-2014	62
Table 14. Range of non-food products, SKU, 2013-2014	63
Table 15. Ratio of food and non-food products in the range of goods of a store on average by formats, %, 2013-2014	63
Table 16. Company leaders by the share of private label goods in chain sales, %, 2013	63
Table 17. Average check (including VAT) in stores of various formats, Rub, 2012-2013	66
Table 18. Sales per square meter of selling space per year, Rub, 2012-2013	67
Table 19. Comparison of average selling space of stores and average sales per square meter, distribution by formats, 2012-2013	67
Table 20. Rating of retail trade chains by size of sales for 2013	68
Table 21. Rating of retail trade chains by number of stores as of the beginning of Q2 2014 * - data as of June 2014** - estimated	70
Table 22. Rating of retail trade chains by size of selling space as of the beginning of 2014 * - estimated value	73
Table 23. Rating of retail trade chains by number of buyers as of 2013* - estimated value	74
Table 24. Rating by sales per square meter of selling space for 2013	76
Table 25. Structure dynamics of retail sales in RF by federal districts, %, 2008-2013	90
Table 26. Largest cities of Russia in terms of population and retail trade turnover per capita in 2013	91
Table 27. Leading regions in terms of retail food chain volume, Rub mn, 2013	93
Table 28. Structure of food retail chains in the Central Federal District, distribution by number of stores, 2012-2014	97
Table 29. Structure of food retail chains in the North-West Federal District, distribution by the number of stores, 2012-2014	99
Table 30. Structure of food retail chains in the Urals Federal District - distribution by number of stores, 2012-2014	101
Table 31. Structure of food retail chains in the Volga Federal District - distribution by number of stores, 2012-2014	103
Table 32. Structure of food retail chains in the Southern Federal District - distribution by number of stores - 2012 - 2014	104
Table 33. Structure of food retail chains in the Siberian Federal District - distribution by number of stores, 2012 - 2014	106
Table 34. Household penetration of chain stores - distribution by regions and store formats (as of April-June 2014)	107

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FMCG RETAIL TRADE CHAINS IN RUSSIA 2013 28 ноября 2013 28 ноября 2013 50 000

FMCG Retail Chains in Russia 2012 11 октября 2012 11 октября 2012 50 000

FMCG Retail Chains in Russia 2011 16 сентября 2011 16 сентября 2011 42 000

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