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Transport and logistics services market in 2011-2012 and forecast to 2015

Transport and logistics services market in 2011-2012 and forecast to 2015
ID (артикул): 562949988923662
Автор: РБК Исследования рынков
Количество страниц: 162
Язык отчета: Английский и русский язык
Дата выпуска: 17.09.2013
Способ предоставления: В электронном виде
Формат исследования: PDF
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Описание "Transport and logistics services market in 2011-2012 and forecast to 2015"

The survey is devoted to the analysis of the latest development trends and prospects for the Russian transport and logistics services market.

The work provides a detailed review of the situation in the global and Russian logistics outsourcing markets, quotes the most important performance indicators of the sector in 2011-2012 and January-July 2013, as well as estimates for 2013, and contains a forecast for the development of major segments of the logistics market through 2015.

The section "Global Transport and Logistics Market" contains an analysis of the situation in major segments of the global logistics market. The markets in EU countries are studied in more detail, giving a timeline of financial results reported by major 3PL providers in 2012.

The survey of the Russian transport and logistics services market is comprehensive in nature and contains a detailed analysis describing the development of freight transportation and forwarding, warehousing and management services. The review provides estimates for the logistics market size, including 2PL and 3PL segments, in volume and value terms.

The section "International Freight market" contains data on the dynamics and structure of foreign trade freight traffic in 2011-2012 and in January-June 2013. The changes that occurred in the Russian container transport market, including transshipment in ports and carriage by rail, are analyzed.

The section devoted to the Russian warehousing services market analyzes supply and demand in the commercial warehousing property market in 2012, dynamics and structure of the storage and distribution services market, and trends in the development of the logistics market in metropolitan regions and other constituent entities of the Russian Federation in 2012.

A separate section includes an analysis of competitive environment, financial performance of Russian and foreign transport and logistics companies in 2011-2012, as well the market consolidation.
The section "Growth Potential for the Russian Transport and Logistics Services Market in 2013-2015" contains a forecast for the development of Russian economy and foreign trade (RF MED, April 2013), and RBC.research estimates for physical and value indicators of logistics market segments up to 2015.

The research project was carried out in July-September 2013.
Volume: 162 pages
The research paper contains 65 tables, 123 charts and diagrams.


Содержание "Transport and logistics services market in 2011-2012 and forecast to 2015"

 

TABLE OF CONTENTS

 

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

2

Figures

6

Tables

11

RESUME

14

GLOBAL TRANSPORT AND LOGISTICS MARKET

17

The world economy in 2012-2015

17

Dynamics of the main TLS market segments

19

The dynamics and structure of the global market of transport and logistics services

19

International consignments

21

Customs brokerage services

23

Contract logistics

24

Geographic structure of the world market of 3PL services

25

European market

26

The dynamics and structure

26

The biggest players

27

 

 

RUSSIAN MARKET OF TRANSPORT AND LOGISTICS SERVICES

30

Economy of the Russian Federation in 2011-2012

30

The scope and structure of the logistics outsourcing market

30

The market for transport services

36

The dynamics and structure of the freight transportation

36

The value of the transport services market

41

Rail freight activity

42

Automotive transport

47

Freight transport by sea

51

Cargo handling in ports

54

Inland waterways

62

Airfreight

66

International freight market

71

Dynamics of foreign trade cargo traffic

71

The structure of export cargo traffic

73

The structure of import cargo traffic

77

The dynamics and structure of freight traffic by mode of transport

82

International container shipping

90

The structure of export container traffic

91

Structure of the import container traffic

94

Transshipment of containers at ports

97

Transportation of containers by rail

101

The volume of container shipping market

103

Warehouse services market

104

The demand for warehouse services

105

The warehouse space offer

108

The balance of supply and demand, the level of rents

109

Space and structure of the warehouse property market and warehousing services

111

The Moscow Region

119

St. Petersburg and the Leningrad Region

124

Regional markets

130

Competitive environment

137

The main players

137

Mergers and acquisitions

142

The Russian market of express delivery

147

 

 

GROWTH POTENTIAL OF RUSSIAN TRANSPORT AND LOGISTICS SERVICES MARKET IN 2013-2015

150

Forecast of the Russian economy development in 2013-2015

150

The market for transport services

151

Warehouse Services market

156

Forecast of dynamics of transport and logistics services market

159


Иллюстрации "Transport and logistics services market in 2011-2012 and forecast to 2015"

 

Fig. 1. Real GDP growth in 2007-2012, forecast  for 2013-2015, %

18

Fig. 2. World Trade Volume (goods and services) in 2007-2012, forecast for 2013-2014, %

18

Fig. 3. Global transport and logistics market in 2006-2012, $bn

19

Fig. 4. Structure of the global transport and logistics services market in 2006-2012, %

20

Fig. 5. Volume of the global logistics outsourcing market and 3PL segment in 2006-2012 гг., $bn

20

Fig. 6. Global container transportation volumes in 2005-2012, million TEUs

21

Fig. 7. Structure of the global container transportation market control in 2011 г., %

22

Fig. 8. Global airfreight market in 2006-2013, $bn

23

Fig. 9. Global market for customs brokerage services in 2006-2012, $bn, %

24

Fig. 10. Global contract logistics market volume in 2005-2012 гг., €bn, %

25

Fig. 11. Geographical structure of the global logistics market and 3PL services segment in  2010- 2011, %

26

Fig. 12. Revenues of TOP 12 European logistics companies in 2007-2012, €bn, %

27

Fig. 13. Revenue dynamics of leading European 3PL companies in 2009-2011, %

28

Fig. 14. Top 12 logistics companies in Europe in terms of revenue in 2009-2012, € bn

29

Fig. 15. Dynamics of the Russian transport and logistics services market (logistics outsourcing) in 2007-2013, RUB billion and %

32

Fig. 16. Dynamics of the Russian transport and logistics services market (logistics outsourcing) in 2007-2013, $billion and %

32

Fig. 17. Growth of Russian transport and logistics services market by segments in 2012 versus 2011, %

33

Fig. 18. Structure of the Russian transport and logistics market by type of serviceг in 2012, %

34

Fig. 19. Volume of Russian transport and logistics services market by segments in 2010-2012, RUB billion

34

Fig. 20. Dynamics of commercial cargo transportation and freight turnover by modes of transport of all branches of industry in 2008-2013, %

37

Fig. 21. Dynamics of commercial freight transportation and freight turnover across all sectors by mode of transport in Russia in 2011-2012, %

38

Fig. 22.Commercial freight transportation and freight turnover across all sectors by mode of transport in Russia in 2011-2012, million tons, billion tkm

38

Fig. 23. The structure of commercial freight turnover by modes of transport of the Russian Federation in 2012, %

39

Fig. 24. Dynamics of commercial cargo transportation and freight turnover across all sectors of Russian economy by mode of transport, January-July 2013 to January-June 2012, %

40

Fig. 25. Structure of the Russian transportation services market (including revenues from transshipment in ports and airports) in 2012, %

42

Fig. 26. Monthly dynamics of freight tonnage handled by rail (commercial transportation, excluding industrial rail transport) in Russia in January 2008 - July 2013, million tons

43

Fig. 27. Structure of freight transported by Russian Railways network in 2012, %

45

Fig. 28. Volume of rail freight transportation market  by segments  (JSC Russian Railways and private operators) in 2008-2012 , RUB billion

46

Fig. 29. Monthly dynamics of commercial cargo transportation by road transport across all sectors of the Russian economy, January 2008 - July  2013, million tons

48

Fig. 30. Monthly dynamics of commercial cargo turnover by road transport across all sectors of the Russian economy, January 2008 - July  20132, billion tkm

48

Fig. 31. Dynamics of commercial freight transportation and cargo turnover by automotive transport of all sectors of the Russian economy in 2008-2013, million tons, billion tkm

49

Fig. 32. Road freight rate indices in Russia, January 2009 - December 2012, % to December of the previous year

50

Fig. 33. Dynamics of the value of the road freight transportation market (commercial road transport)  in Russia in 2008-2013, RUB billion

51

Fig. 34. Dynamics of the road freight transportation services market (transport organizations and hired entrepreneurs)  in Russia in 2008-2013, RUB billion

51

Fig. 35. Monthly dynamics of commercial sea freight transportation in Russia, January 2008 - September  2012, million tons

52

Fig. 36. Monthly dynamics of commercial sea turnover  in Russia, January 2008 - September  2012, billion tkm

53

Fig. 37. Dynamics of cargo transportation and freight turnover of sea transport in Russia in 2008-2012, million tons, billion tkm

53

Fig. 38. Sea freight rate indices in Russia, January 2009 - December 2012, % to December of the previous year

54

Fig. 39. Dynamics of the value of the sea freight market in Russia, 2007-2012, RUB billion

54

Fig. 40. Dynamics of freight transshipment in Russian ports in 2007-2012, million t , %

55

Fig. 41. Dynamics of freight transshipment in Russian ports by type of cargo in 2011-2012, %

56

Fig. 42. Structure of cargo handled in Russian sea ports  in 2012, %

57

Fig. 43. Structure of cargo handled in Russian sea ports  by destination in 2012, %

57

Fig. 44. Structure of cargo handled in Russian sea ports  by basin in 2012, %

58

Fig. 45. Dynamics of cargo handled in Russian ports of by basin in 2011-2012, %

59

Fig. 46.  Volumes of cargo handled in Russian sea ports by basin in 2010-2012, million tons

59

Fig. 47. Dynamics of stevedoring services market value in Russian ports in 2008-2012, RUB billion

61

Fig. 48. Monthly dynamics of commercial cargo transportation by inland water transport in Russia, January 2008 - September 2012, million tons

63

Fig. 49. Monthly dynamics of commercial freight turnover by inland water transport in Russia, January 2008 - September 2012, million tons

64

Fig. 50. Commercial cargo transportation volume and freight turnover of inland water transport in Russia in 2008-2012, million tons, billion tkm

64

Fig. 51. Freight rate indices for inland water transport in Russia, January 2008 - December 2012, % to  December of the previous year

65

Fig. 52. Dynamics of the value of the inland water freight market in Russia in 2008-2012, RUB billion

65

Fig. 53. Shares of Russian airlines in the total volume of cargo and mail carried in Russia in 2011, %

67

Fig. 54. Freight turnover and cargo and mail transportation by Russian civil aviation in 2008-2012, thousand tons, million tkm

68

Fig. 55. Dynamics of cargo and mail transportation by Top 15 Russian airlines in 2011-2012, %

68

Fig. 56. Dynamics of freight turnover by Top 15 Russian airlines in 2011-2012, %

69

Fig. 57. Air freight rate indices in Russia, January 2008 - December 2012, % to December of the previous year

70

Fig. 58. Dynamics of GDP and foreign trade freight traffic in Russia, 2007-2013, %

71

Fig. 59. Dynamics export and import freight traffic in Russia in 2008-2013, %

71

Fig. 60. Export and import freight traffic in Russia in 2008-2013, million tones

72

Fig. 61. Share of China in Russia's export freight traffic by commodity group in 2011, %

74

Fig. 62.Growth index of Russian export freight traffic to non-CIS countries by commodity group in 2011-2012, %

75

Fig. 63. Growth index of Russian export freight traffic by recipient country in 2011- 2012, %

75

Fig. 64. Distribution of Russia's export freight traffic by recipient country in 2012, %

76

Fig. 65. Freight traffic index for major commodity groups exported by RF, January-June 2013 to January-June 2012, %

76

Fig. 66. Distribution of import freight traffic in Russia by partner country in 2011, %

78

Fig. 67.  Growth index of Russian import freight traffic from the main partner countries in 2010-2011, %

79

Fig. 68. Growth index of Russian import freight traffic from non-CIS countries by commodity group in 2011-2012, %

80

Fig. 69. Growth index of Russian import freight traffic from main partner countries in 2011-2012, %

80

Fig. 70. Distribution of import freight traffic in Russia by partner country in 2012, %

81

Fig. 71. Import freight traffic index for major commodity groups, January-June 2013 to January-June 2012, %

82

Fig. 72. Distribution of Russia's foreign trade turnover (by the volume of cargo carried, excluding pipeline transport, via border crossings) in 2011, million tons and %

82

Fig. 73. Distribution of Russia's foreign trade turnover of Russian carriers (by the volume of cargo carried, excluding pipeline transport, via border crossings) in 2011, million tons and %

83

Fig. 74. Volume of foreign trade cargo transportation by rail in Russia (export, import and transit shipments in 2007-2012, million tons

84

Fig. 75. International road transportation of Russia's goods in 2007-2012, million tons

87

Fig. 76. Distribution of international road transportation of Russia's goods by main destinations in 2005-2011, %

87

Fig. 77. International road transportation of Russia's goods by main destinations in 2011, million tons

88

Fig. 78. Distribution of international road transportation of Russia's goods by carries in 2011, %

88

Fig. 79. International road transportation by Russian carries by main destinations in 2011, million tons

89

Fig. 80. International container transportation in Russia, 2004-2011, million tons

90

Fig. 81. Structure of containerized exports in Russia, 2011, %

91

Fig. 82. Distribution of containerized export traffic from Russia in 2010-2011 by Top 10 recipient countries, %

93

Fig. 83. Structure of containerized imports in Russia, 2011, %

94

Fig. 84. Distribution of import container traffic to Russia by manufacturing country, 2010-2011, %

96

Fig. 85. Dynamics of transshipment of Russian foreign trade cargoes in ports, 2006-2012, million TEUs

97

Fig. 86.  Volume of containerized export, import and transit cargo handled in Russian sea ports, 2008-2012, thousand TEUs

98

Fig. 87. Dynamics of container transshipment volume in Russian sea basins, 2010-2012, %

98

Fig. 88. Distribution of transshipment of foreign trade container cargoes by Russian sea basins in 2012, %

99

Fig. 89. Container transshipment volume in Russian sea basins in 2011-2012, thousand TEUs

99

Fig. 90. Structure of traffic of large-tonnage containers carried by rail on international routes, 2008-2012, %

102

Fig. 91. Value structure of the Russian container transport market by mode of transport, 2012, %

104

Fig. 92. Dynamics of quality warehouse space in the Russian Federation in 2008-2012, million square meters

112

Fig. 93. The quality warehouse space in Moscow, St. Petersburg and Russian regions in 2010-2012, million square meters

112

Fig. 94. Regional structure of quality warehouses in the Russian Federation in 2012, %

113

Fig. 95. Dynamics of quality commercial warehouse space in the Russian Federation in 2008-2012, million square meters

113

Fig. 96. The volume of quality commercial warehouses in Moscow, St. Petersburg and the Russian regions in 2009-2012, million square meters

114

Fig. 97. Vacancy rate of commercial quality warehouses in Moscow, St. Petersburg and the Russian regions in 2010-2012, %

115

Fig. 98. Volume of the Russian warehousing services market, 2007-2012, $ billion

116

Fig. 99. Dynamics of the warehousing services market volume, 2007-2012, $billion, %

116

Fig. 100. Dynamics of the warehousing services market volume, 2007-2012, RUB billion, %

117

Fig. 101. Regional structure of the market for services provided in high quality warehouses in Moscow, Saint Petersburg and Russian regions, 2012, %

118

Fig. 102. Value of the market for services provided in high quality warehouses in Moscow, Saint Petersburg and Russian regions, 2010-2012,  $ billion

118

Fig. 103.Dynamics of the market for services provided in high quality warehouses in Moscow, Saint Petersburg and Russian regions, 2010-2012,  % versus the previous year

118

Fig. 104. The volume of quality warehouses in Moscow and Moscow Region in 2007-2013, million square meters

120

Fig. 105. Volume of quality commercial warehouses in Moscow and Moscow Region in 2007-2013, million square meters

124

Fig. 106. Volume of quality warehouses in St. Petersburg and Leningrad Region in 2007-2013, million square meters

125

Fig. 107. Volume of quality commercial warehouses in St. Petersburg and LR in 2007-2012, million square meters

130

Fig. 108. Volume of quality  warehouses in Russian Regions in 2007-2013, million square meters

131

Fig. 109. Volume of quality commercial warehouses in Russian Regions in 2007-2013, million square meters

132

Fig. 110. Distribution  of quality warehouses in Russian regions in 2012, %

132

Fig. 111. Dynamics of Russian and foreign logistics providers' turnover in Russia,  2012 versus  2011, %

141

Fig. 112. Shares of main players in Russian express delivery market in 2012, %

148

Fig. 113. The growth forecast for freight turnover of transport organizations by modes of public transport in 2012-2015, billion tkm

154

Fig. 114. Forecast for growth of the Russian freight transportation market by mode of transport (including revenues from transhipment in ports and airports), 2012-2015, RUB billion

155

Fig. 115. Value structure of the Russian freight transportation market by mode of transport, 2015 (forecast), %

156

Fig. 116. Forecast for dynamics of the amount of high quality warehousing space in Russia in 2008-2015, million square meters

157

Fig. 117. Forecast for new warehousing facilities delivered in RF in 2009-2015, million square meters

158

Fig. 118. Forecast for growth of the amount of high quality warehousing space in Moscow, Saint Petersburg and Russian regions, 2012-2015, million square meters

158

Fig. 119. Forecast for dynamics of the value of the Russian warehousing services market, 2008-2015, RUB billion

159

Fig. 120. Forecast for dynamics of the value of the Russian warehousing services market, 2008-2015, $ billion

159

Fig. 121. Forecast for dynamics of the Russian market of transport and logistics services, 2008-2015, RUB billion and %

160

Fig. 122. Forecast for dynamics of the Russian market of transport and logistics services, 2008-2015, $ billion and %

160

Fig. 123. Forecast for growth of the Russian transportation and logistics services market segments, 2012-2015, RUB billion

161


Таблицы "Transport and logistics services market in 2011-2012 and forecast to 2015"

 

Table 1. Global logistics costs and turnover in the 3PL services segment by region in 2011 г., $bn, %

26

Table 2. Key indicators of Russia's economic development in 2009-2012, % versus the corresponding period in the previous year

30

Table 3. Comparison of GDP, logistics costs and key indicators of transport and logistics markets in the U.S., Europe, China and Russia in 2011, $bn

31

Table 4.  Average annual exchange rate of US dollar in 2007-20132, RUB/US$

32

Table 5. Inflation level and rail freight rates in Russia in 2006-2012, %

33

Table 6. Volume of 2PL and 3PL segments of the Russian transport and logistics services market in 2012, $billion, %

34

Table 7. Volume of the Russian 3PL market (gross and net revenue of 3PL providers) in 2008-2012, $billion and %

35

Table 8. Commercial cargo transportation by modes of transport of all branches of industry in 2008-2012, million tons, %

36

Table 9. Commercial freight turnover by modes of transport of all branches of industry in 2008-2012, billion tkm, %

37

Table 10. Commercial cargo transportation and freight turnover by mode of public transport in Russia in 2011-2012, million tons, billion tkm, %

39

Table 11.Dynamics of freight transportation tariffs by mode of public transport in 2010-2012, %

41

Table 12. Value of Russian transportation services market by major segments (including revenues from transshipment in ports and airports) in 2008-2013, RUB billion and %

42

Table 13. Key operating indicators of JSCo RZD in 2008-2012

43

Table 14. Handling volumes of primary types of cargo on JSCo RZD network in 2008-2012, million tones

44

Table 15. Indexation of rail freight rates in Russia in 2006-2012, %

45

Table 16. Freight revenues of JSCo RZD subsidiaries from freight transportation in 2008-2011, RUB billion

45

Table 17. Leading private operators by net revenues  in 2010-2011, RUB billion, %

46

Table 18. Dynamics of rail transportation market by segments in 2008-2012, RUB billion, %

47

Table 19. Cargo transportation volume and freight turnover of road transport in Russia, 2008-2012, million tons, billion tkm

49

Table 20. Freight transportation and turnover by sea transport of RF in 2008-2011, million tons and billion tkm

52

Table 21. Volumes of dry and liquid cargo handled in Russian sea ports in 2010-2012, million tons, %

55

Table 22. Transshipment volumes in Russian sea ports (major ports and basins), 2010-2012, million tons, %

59

Table 23. Value of the Russian market for sea transportation and stevedoring services in  2008-2012, RUB million, %

61

Table 24. Cargo transportation volume and freight turnover of inland water transport in Russia, 2008-2011, million tons and billion tkm

63

Table 25. Value of the Russian market for inland water freight transportation and stevedoring services in river ports in 2008-2012, RUB billion, %

65

Table 26. Freight turnover and cargo and mail transportation by Russian civil aviation in 2008-2012 (international and domestic service), thousand tons, million tkm

66

Table 27. Ranking of the TOP 15 airlines in Russia by freight turnover and volume of cargo and mail carried in 2011-2012 (international and domestic services), million tkm, thousand tons

69

Table 28. Value of major air logistics market segments (cargo transportation) in 2008-2012, RUB billion

70

Table 29. Russian export freight traffic volume distributed by major commodity groups, 2008-2011, million tons and %

73

Table 30. Volume of import goods traffic in the distribution by integrated commodity groups in 2008-2011, million tons, %

77

Table 31. Volume of export and import cargo transportation by rail in Russia, by route, in 2010-2012, million tons and %

84

Table 32. Volume of Russian foreign trade cargo handled in Russian, Baltic and Ukrainian sea ports in 2009-2012, million tons

86

Table 33. Volume and level of containerization of foreign trade freight traffic in Russia, 2008-2011, million tons

90

Table 34. Dynamics of containerized export traffic from Russia by major commodity group, 2008-2011, thousand tons, %

92

Table 35. Export cargo containerization level in Russia by major commodity group, 2008-2011, %

92

Table 36. Dynamics of import container traffic in Russia by major commodity group, 2008-2011, thousand tons, %

94

Table 37. Containerization level for Russian export cargoes by major commodity group, 2010-2011, %

95

Table 38. Dynamics of container transshipment volume in Russian sea ports in 2011-2012, %

100

Table 39. Transportation of large-tonnage containers by rail on international routes, 2008-2012, thousand TEUs

101

Table 40. Dynamics of the volume of the container transportation market distributed by major segment, 2008-2012, million TEUs and %

103

Table 41. Assessing the level of vacancy rate of quality commercial warehouses in Moscow, St. Petersburg and the Russian regions in 2011-2012

115

Table 42. Volume of the Russian market services provided in high quality warehouses, 2007-2012, million sq. m, RUB billion, $ billion

117

Table 43. Main quality warehouse facilities delivered in Moscow and MR in 2011

120

Table 44. Main quality warehouse facilities delivered in Moscow and MR in 2012

121

Table 45. Expected delivery of quality warehouse facilities in Moscow and MR  in 2013

121

Table 46. Main transactions in the quality warehouse market of Moscow and MR in 2012

123

Table 47. Main quality warehouse facilities delivered in St. Petersburg and LR in 2011

125

Table 48. Main quality warehouse facilities delivered in St. Petersburg and LR in 2012

126

Table 49. Expected delivery of quality warehouse facilities in St. Petersburg and LR  in 2013

127

Table 50. Main transactions in the quality warehouse market of St. Petersburg and LR in 2012

128

Table 51. Volume of Class A and B warehouses in the largest Russian Regions in 2011-2012, th. sq m

133

Table 52. Volume of quality warehouse delivered in the largest Russian Regions in 2011-2012, th. sq m

133

Table 53. Main warehouse facilities delivered in the Russian regions in 2011

134

Table 54. Main warehouse facilities delivered in the Russian regions in 2012

134

Table 55. Main transactions for lease in the quality warehouse market in the Russian regions in 2011

135

Table 56. Main transactions for lease in the quality warehouse market in the Russian regions in 2012

136

Table 57. The average stated rental rates of Class A warehouses in Russian regions in Q3 2008, Q3 2011, Q3 2012, $/sq m per year (triple net)

137

Table 58. Revenues of major transportation groups in Russia, 2009-2012, $ million

138

Table 59. Revenues of major operators of the road freight transport in Russia, 2009-2012, $ million

138

Table 60. Revenues of Russian and foreign logistics providers in Russia, 2009-2012, $ million

140

Table 61. Revenues of Russian and foreign logistics providers in Russia, 2009-2012, RUB million

141

Table 62. M&A deals on the Russian transport and logistic services market, 2008-2012

145

Table 63. Volume Russian express delivery market, turnover of Top 11 companies in 2008-2012, $million and %

148

Table 64. Forecast for dynamics of the value of Russian transportation and logistics services market segments, 2009-2015, RUB billion, %

161

Table 65. Forecast for dynamics of the Russian market for 3PL services (gross and net revenues of 3PL providers), 2009-2015, $ billion and %

162


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